SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
26.29% ( 3.33) | 22.6% ( 0.16) | 51.11% ( -3.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( 3.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( 2.58) | 39.05% ( -2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( 2.65) | 61.37% ( -2.65) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 4.05) | 27.73% ( -4.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( 4.91) | 63.3% ( -4.91) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.27) | 15.46% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -0.5) | 44.32% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.53)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.48)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.51)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.54)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.28)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8% ( -1.09)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -1.1)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.74)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.11% |
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