The teams boast similar defensive numbers heading into this one, but Waalwijk have been far more efficient at the other end, and we fancy them to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.