SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | RKC Waalwijk | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | RKC Waalwijk | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Cambuur |
49.95% ( -2.44) | 23.41% ( 0.31) | 26.64% ( 2.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( 0.47) | 42.51% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( 0.47) | 64.91% ( -0.47) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.71) | 17.14% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( -1.27) | 47.38% ( 1.27) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 1.92) | 29.28% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( 2.29) | 65.25% ( -2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.64% |
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