Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
