SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 53.64% | 21.45% | 24.91% |
| Both teams to score 63.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% | 56.77% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% | 13.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.17% | 39.84% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% | 26.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.34% | 61.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.44% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.27% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.91% |
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