SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 18.34% | 21.36% | 60.29% |
| Both teams to score 54.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% | 43.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% | 37.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.1% | 73.89% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% | 13.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.78% | 41.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-1 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.14% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 0-2 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 3% Total : 60.28% |
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