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HA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Nov 29, 2020 at 3.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AA

Heracles
1 - 2
AZ

Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for AZ had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
39.9%24.79%35.31%
Both teams to score 58.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78%67.21%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 39.9%
    AZ Alkmaar 35.31%
    Draw 24.79%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.31%

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