Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.