Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Groningen
50.42%	23.49%	26.09%

Both teams to score 57.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66%

43.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27%

65.73%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72%

17.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38%

47.62%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86%

30.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71%

66.29%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 50.42%

Groningen 26.09%

Draw 23.48%

Vitesse	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.09%