Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
