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HA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
E

Heracles
4 - 0
Emmen

Bakis (26', 44', 64'), Vloet (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Araujo (28'), Bernadou (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawEmmen
60.01%21.66%18.34%
Both teams to score 53.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64%44.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26%66.74%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63%14.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75%42.25%
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09%37.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32%74.68%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 60%
    Emmen 18.34%
    Draw 21.66%
HeraclesDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 6.43%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 60%
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.45%
2-2 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.28%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.34%

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