Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
