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Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
V

Heracles
0 - 2
Vitesse


Bakis (27'), Kiomourtzoglou (52'), Lunding (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Propper (38' og.), Bero (83')
Bruns (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawVitesse
36.74%24.69%38.57%
Both teams to score 58.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76%44.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38%66.62%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24%23.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09%57.91%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2%22.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49%56.52%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 36.74%
    Vitesse 38.57%
    Draw 24.69%
HeraclesDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.57%

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