Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.