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Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2020 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
A

Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
23.19%22.95%53.86%
Both teams to score 56.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31%43.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92%66.08%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29%32.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.26%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83%16.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37%45.63%
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 23.19%
    Ajax 53.86%
    Draw 22.94%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.02%
1-0 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 3.3%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.19%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 9.64%
0-2 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 5.96%
0-3 @ 5.33%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.71%
0-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.52%
1-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.86%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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