Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
