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Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 13, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
PZ

PSV
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Mous (22' og.), Malen (29'), Vertessen (34'), Zahavi (54')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pherai (69'), Lagsir (90')
Bajselmani (42'), Olivier Doue (52'), Lam (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
72.95%16.04%11%
Both teams to score 53.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.99%56%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.91%8.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.57%28.43%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95%78.05%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.95%
    PEC Zwolle 11.01%
    Draw 16.04%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.91%
1-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 5.6%
4-1 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.44%
5-0 @ 2.82%
5-1 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 2.16%
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.09%
6-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 4.1%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.04%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-1 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 11.01%

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