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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
66.23% ( 8.17) | 17.77% ( -2.37) | 16% ( -5.8) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( -2.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.87% ( 1.96) | 30.12% ( -1.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.66% ( 2.32) | 51.34% ( -2.32) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.48% ( 2.5) | 8.52% ( -2.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.5% ( 5.83) | 29.5% ( -5.84) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -4.42) | 31.8% ( 4.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -5.38) | 68.23% ( 5.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.87)3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.74)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 1.35)1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.91)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 1.18)4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.65)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.73)5-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.24)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.34)Other @ 3.65% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.76)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -1.2) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.81)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.75)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.74)Other @ 3.01% Total : 16% |
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