Given Waalwijk are capable defensively, and that manager Fraser will be keen to impress, the game at the Mandemakers Stadion could prove difficult for Utrecht.
However, Utrecht's strong form cannot be ignored, and though Waalwijk might frustrate them at times, the gap in quality could help the away side to overcome their hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.03) 
