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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PZ

Utrecht
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 PEC Zwolle

After threatening a shock victory in the opening stages at Feyenoord, Utrecht should be confident of earning maximum points versus an out-of-form Zwolle outfit. The Blauwvingers are stumbling towards trouble, and we feel that Jansen's woes in the PEC hotseat will continue on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
65.09% (1.705 1.7) 18.55% (-0.321 -0.32) 16.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-1.911 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (-1.076 -1.08)33.32% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (-1.243 -1.24)55.09% (1.245 1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.104 0.1)9.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.238 0.24)32.19% (-0.235 -0.23)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.192 -2.19)33.45% (2.194 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.472 -2.47)70.08% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 65.09%
    PEC Zwolle 16.36%
    Draw 18.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.566 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.47 0.47)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.144 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Almere City
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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