Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.03%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
38.02% (![]() | 21.97% (![]() | 40.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.51% (![]() | 30.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.22% (![]() | 51.78% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% (![]() | 17.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% (![]() | 47.2% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% (![]() | 16.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% (![]() | 45.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.87% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 8.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.68% Total : 40.01% |
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