Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
