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Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
FU

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Utrecht

van der Venne (53')
Oosting (59'), Anita (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahi (12'), van de Streek (90+4' pen.)
van der Maarel (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawFC Utrecht
28.15%22.46%49.4%
Both teams to score 63.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.14%36.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.96%59.04%
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.07%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75%15.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06%43.94%
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 28.15%
    FC Utrecht 49.4%
    Draw 22.46%
RKC WaalwijkDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.85%
1-0 @ 5.3%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 28.15%
1-1 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 5.88%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 4.04%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.9%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 49.4%

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