Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.