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Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
 
SR

ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
Sparta

Gomelt (45')
Del Fabro (73'), Castillo (77'), Pinas (78'), Besuijen (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kharchouch (68')
Heylen (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawSparta Rotterdam
27.12%25.8%47.07%
Both teams to score 51.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.07%
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75%22.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31%55.69%
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 27.12%
    Sparta Rotterdam 47.07%
    Draw 25.79%
ADO Den HaagDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 4.39%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.12%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.07%

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