Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
