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Thursday, November 21
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FT
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Dec 13, 2020 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AA

FC Twente
1 - 3
AZ

Danilo (73' pen.)
Drommel (33'), Danilo (90+2')
Oosterwolde (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Koopmeiners (34' pen., 90'), Sugawara (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
27.88%23.78%48.34%
Both teams to score 58.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72%43.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33%65.67%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05%48.95%
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 27.88%
    AZ Alkmaar 48.34%
    Draw 23.77%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.9%
1-0 @ 6.47%
2-0 @ 4.03%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.88%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 8.89%
0-2 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.34%

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