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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FT

Ajax
1 - 2
FC Twente

Tadic (58' pen.)
Gravenberch (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Menig (22', 84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 8.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
79.57%12.36%8.07%
Both teams to score 56.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.51%44.49%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.18%4.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.55%19.45%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8%40.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17%76.83%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 79.57%
    FC Twente 8.07%
    Draw 12.36%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
3-0 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 8.22%
2-1 @ 8.13%
4-0 @ 6.84%
4-1 @ 6.23%
1-0 @ 5.88%
5-0 @ 4.15%
5-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-2 @ 2.84%
6-0 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.72%
7-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 79.57%
1-1 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 3.7%
0-0 @ 1.94%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 12.36%
1-2 @ 2.44%
0-1 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 8.07%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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