Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
