Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.