Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
