Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
Kotaik Stadium
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bravo (2' og.), Guri (45+3')
Hasani (44')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Ararat and Shkendija.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ararat | Draw | Shkendija |
39.12% ( -0) | 22.97% ( -0) | 37.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( 0.01) |
| 64.34% ( 0.02) | 35.66% ( -0.02) |
| 42.28% ( 0.02) | 57.72% ( -0.02) |
| 81.2% ( 0.01) | 18.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.79% ( 0.01) | 50.21% ( -0.01) |
| 80.65% ( 0.01) | 19.34% ( -0.01) |
