SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ararat | Draw | Shkendija |
39.12% ( -0) | 22.97% ( -0) | 37.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.02) | 35.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0.02) | 57.72% ( -0.02) |
| Ararat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( 0.01) | 18.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( 0.01) | 50.21% ( -0.01) |
| Shkendija Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( 0.01) | 19.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( 0.02) | 51.12% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ararat | Draw | Shkendija |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.6% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.41% Total : 37.91% |
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