Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ecolog Arena
Shala (21'),
Nafiu (45')
Dita (35'),
Nafiu (40'), Cake (44'), Ramadani (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Ararat.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Ararat had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ararat win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.
| Result |
| Shkendija | Draw | Ararat |
43.6% ( -0) | 23.2% ( 0.01) | 33.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0.03) |
| 62.27% ( -0.04) | 37.73% ( 0.03) |
| 40.03% ( -0.04) | 59.97% ( 0.04) |
| 82.24% ( -0.02) | 17.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.02) |
| 77.33% ( -0.02) | 22.67% ( 0.02) |
