SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | FC Pyunik |
55.66% ( -0.43) | 22.47% ( -0) | 21.86% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.56) | 43.07% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.55) | 65.47% ( -0.55) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( 0.05) | 15.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( 0.1) | 44.09% ( -0.09) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( 0.73) | 33.56% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( 0.79) | 70.21% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | FC Pyunik |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.86% |
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