SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
51.42% ( -0.12) | 24.01% ( -0) | 24.56% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( 0.13) | 46.97% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( 0.12) | 69.22% ( -0.12) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.01) | 18.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( 0.01) | 49.32% ( -0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( 0.17) | 33.32% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( 0.19) | 69.94% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.42% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.56% |
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