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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 24, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Biljanini Izvori

Struga
2 - 1
Pyunik

Ibraimi (8' pen.), Spirovski (73')
Muhammed Kehinde (21'), Spirovski (74'), Jevtoski (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Villela (23' pen.)
Malheiro Fabiao Maia (29')
Vakulenko (60')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Struga and FC Pyunik.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Struga 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Pyunik 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Struga win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Struga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Struga would win this match.

Result
StrugaDrawFC Pyunik
39.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 27.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 33.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (0.113 0.11)54.83% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.093 0.09)76.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Struga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.071000000000005 0.07)62.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.070999999999998 0.07)30.87% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.083999999999996 0.08)67.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Struga 39.61%
    FC Pyunik 33.34%
    Draw 27.04%
StrugaDrawFC Pyunik
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Struga 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-2 Struga
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Breidablik 1-0 Struga
Thursday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Struga 0-1 Breidablik
Thursday, August 24 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 2-1 Struga
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Struga 3-1 Swift Hesperange
Thursday, August 10 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Pyunik 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, July 10 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pyunik 0-3 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Pyunik
Thursday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Pyunik 2-1 Kalmar
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kalmar 1-2 Pyunik
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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