Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.