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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2021 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
SB

Lincoln
1 - 3
Slovan Bratislava

Walker (73' pen.)
Yahaya (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kashia (16'), Zmrhal (48'), Henty (69')
Weiss (14'), Kankava (31')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawSlovan Bratislava
34.43%24.1%41.47%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.22%41.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82%64.18%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91%58.09%
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 34.43%
    Slovan Bratislava 41.47%
    Draw 24.1%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 7.93%
1-0 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.47%

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