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Thursday, March 28
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FC
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Parken
P

Copenhagen
1 - 2
PAOK

Biel (80')
Lerager (41'), Bergmann Johannesson (52'), Wind (88')
Grabara (9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sidcley (19'), Zivkovic (38')
Michailidis (22'), Paschalakis (69'), Zivkovic (82'), Swiderski (83')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Copenhagen and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawPAOK
35.2%25.11%39.69%
Both teams to score 57.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68%46.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.6%
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55%60.45%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85%23.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97%57.03%
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 35.2%
    PAOK 39.69%
    Draw 25.11%
CopenhagenDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.69%

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