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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4
Sep 26, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
AA

PAOK
2 - 0
AEK Athens

Biseswar (42'), Kurtic (79' pen.)
Sidcley (39'), Zivkovic (71'), Swiderski (86'), Esiti (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ansarifard (65'), Le Tallec (80')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawAEK Athens
52.63%25.79%21.57%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26%56.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32%77.68%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26%54.74%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43%41.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94%78.06%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 52.63%
    AEK Athens 21.57%
    Draw 25.79%
PAOKDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.57%

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