Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
