Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion Vitosha
Ilievski (29'), Thalis (51' pen.)
Thalis (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Pafos FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA 1948 Sofia would win this match.
| Result |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Draw | Pafos FC |
38.49% ( 0.04) | 26.59% ( 0.01) | 34.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( -0.05) |
| 47.24% ( -0.06) | 52.75% ( 0.06) |
| 25.61% ( -0.05) | 74.38% ( 0.05) |
| 73.27% ( -0.01) | 26.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.01% ( -0.01) | 61.98% ( 0.01) |
| 71.17% ( -0.06) | 28.82% ( 0.06) |
