Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moutachy (62' og.)
Pelagio (57'), Rovaris Dall'Igna (90+6'),
Bruno (90+9')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Pafos FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Pafos FC |
53.96% ( 0) | 23.16% ( -0) | 22.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0) |
| 55.07% ( -0) | 44.93% ( -0) |
| 32.72% | 67.28% ( -0) |
| 83.42% | 16.58% ( -0) |
