Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
