Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
