Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
