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Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
3 - 3
Legia

Juninho (16'), Gluda Dju (34', 71')
Gigovic (52'), Dyhr (82'), Brumado (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gual (26'), Slisz (64'), Kramer (86')
Wszolek (29'), Pesqueira (43'), Slisz (45+2'), Gual (61')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Playoffs clash between FC Midtjylland and Legia Warsaw.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawLegia Warsaw
42.16%25.02%32.82%
Both teams to score 56.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55%46.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27%68.73%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68%55.32%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.44%
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 42.16%
    Legia Warsaw 32.82%
    Draw 25.02%
FC MidtjyllandDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.82%

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