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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Omonia

Kyu-Sung (27' pen.), Gluda Dju (43', 45+3', 64'), Gigovic (80')
Simsir (34'), Olsson (52'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kakoullis (31')
Matthews (17'), Kakoullis (24'), Bachirou (25'), Bezus (34'), Ansarifard (76'), Simic (90+2')
Kousoulos (24')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Midtjylland and Omonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Nordsjaelland153.75Nuamah
2Copenhagen112.75Goncalves
3Brondby71.75Vallys
4Lyngby Boldklub71.75Finnbogason
5Aarhus61.50Mortensen
6Midtjylland61.50Kyu-Sung
7Odense61.50Kadrii
8Silkeborg51.25Rasmussen
9Viborg51.25Ementa
10Randers41.00Andersson
11Vejle41.00Onugkha
12Hvidovre20.50Jakobsen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawOmonia
65.88% (0.128 0.13) 20.18% (0.126 0.13) 13.94% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-1.067 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (-1.08 -1.08)46.01% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-1.033 -1.03)68.32% (1.035 1.04)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)13.11% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.599 -0.6)39.76% (0.602 0.6)
Omonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43% (-1.038 -1.04)44.58% (1.043 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-0.853 -0.85)80.59% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 65.88%
    Omonia 13.94%
    Draw 20.18%
FC MidtjyllandDrawOmonia
2-0 @ 12.06% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 65.88%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.265 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 4-1 Midtjylland
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Niederkorn 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Silkeborg
Sunday, July 30 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Niederkorn
Wednesday, July 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Omonia 4-1 Qabala
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Qabala 2-3 Omonia
Thursday, July 27 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Omonia 0-2 Real Sociedad
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League


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