Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.