Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.