Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
