SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Gota win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Gota win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a FK Liepaja win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vikingur Gota would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Gota | Draw | FK Liepaja |
60.04% ( -0.22) | 21.29% ( 0.14) | 18.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% ( -0.5) | 42.2% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.5) | 64.6% ( 0.51) |
| Vikingur Gota Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.22) | 13.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( -0.45) | 40.84% ( 0.46) |
| FK Liepaja Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.2) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( -0.21) | 73.05% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vikingur Gota | Draw | FK Liepaja |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.04% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.67% |
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