Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cephas (11', 45+1', 56', 62'), Putita (23')
Sampaio (43'), Timovski (58')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hegelmann Litauen and Shkupi.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hegelmann Litauen win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.
| Result |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Draw | Shkupi |
19.54% ( -0.17) | 23.88% ( -0.02) | 56.57% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.23) |
| 48.12% ( -0.16) | 51.88% ( 0.16) |
| 26.36% ( -0.14) | 73.63% ( 0.14) |
| 59.05% ( -0.29) | 40.95% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.49% ( -0.25) | 77.51% ( 0.26) |
| 81.83% ( 0.01) | 18.17% ( -0.01) |
