SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Shkupi had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Shkupi win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shkupi |
42.79% ( 0) | 23.56% ( -0.04) | 33.65% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.41% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.22) | 39.35% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.23) | 61.69% ( -0.23) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( 0.09) | 18.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( 0.15) | 50.14% ( -0.15) |
| Shkupi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( 0.13) | 23.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( 0.19) | 57.07% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shkupi |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.65% |
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