Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Boris Trajkovski
FT
Upstas (51'), Thompson (85')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkupi and Hegelmann Litauen.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Hegelmann Litauen win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Shkupi | Draw | Hegelmann Litauen |
60.09% ( 0.1) | 22.08% ( 0.01) | 17.83% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.26) |
| 53% ( -0.24) | 47% ( 0.24) |
| 30.75% ( -0.23) | 69.25% ( 0.23) |
| 84.78% ( -0.05) | 15.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0.09) | 43.87% ( 0.09) |
| 59.95% ( -0.28) | 40.05% ( 0.28) |
